Wednesday, July 9, 2008

Statistics and Individuals

I saw this quote yesterday: "Statistics don't mean anything to the individual."

Without any quantitative evidence, my intuition tells me this is quite true. Even if only 0.000000001% of humans are abducted by aliens, if you were abducted, it doesn't really matter what the probability is.

But when leaders are making decisions "for the greater good," all they have is statistics to look at. The most you can hope is to maximize some kind of statistic (e.g. the number of people who can go to school). How do we reconcile the differences between the leader and those being led?

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